Lesson Summary and References

by | Jan 24, 2019 | Uncategorized

Topic Progress:

Summary of lesson

Future researcher and foresight experts do not talk about the future as a singular possibility, but about futures. The first reason for this is that the future is a liquid space, a space that still can be shaped and which changes by actions and events until it has arrived. As a consequence, even experts can only make preliminary estimations about the future. The second reason lies in the thinking. People have very different visions of the future, expectations of the future and wishes for the future. Some possible futures they fear, some they expect, some they long for and some they cannot even imagine. Such different visions of the future exist in the minds of each individual as well as in the different social groups and contexts. Often individual aspects are considered, such as the future of the oceans, the climate, the nation states, an industry, a technology, a person or even a product. In order to be able to think, discuss and, above all, shape these possible or even impossible futures, one must be able to grasp, understand and classify their diversity. This lesson should lay the foundation for doing so.

 

References and further information

Papers and Articles:

Smart, John et al. (2015): Dator‘s Four Futures. The Foresight Guide. Chapter 4. Models – Foundations for Organizational Foresight. By John M. Smart and the Foresight U and FERN teams. http://www.foresightguide.com/dator-four-futures/ (last visited 10.09.2018)

Books:

  • Neyrink (1994): Der göttliche Ingenieur | Le huitième jour de la création (only in German and French)
  • Taleb, Nicolas (2007): Black Swan

Websites:

  • Voros, Joseph (2017): The Futures Cone, use and history https://thevoroscope.com/2017/02/24/the-futures-cone-use-and-history/ (last visited 04.12.2018)
  • Voros, Joseph (2015): On examining Preposterous! futures  https://thevoroscope.com/2015/12/28/on-examining-preposterous-futures/ (last visited 04.12.2018)

Film:

  • Lesson 1.3.1, Slide 4 – Run Lola Run Trailer HIGH QUALITY https://youtu.be/Q0nEOFAR5Ck
  • Lesson 1.3.2, Slide 5 – TUS4M 2017: Let’s Make A Future! (Cone of Possibilities) https://youtu.be/LdDedqRa7iw
  • Lesson 1.3.3, Slide 2 – Voros, Joseph (2016): Big History Anthropocene Conference – Futurist Dr Joseph Voros – https://youtu.be/Z7gU3ZsSWr0?t=320 – 5:20 bis 8:06
  • Lesson 1.3.4, Slide 2 – Dator, Jim (2012): Intelligent technical artefacts and human beings – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gR3S3QJLhQM – 51:04 to 1:02:38 (with examples to 1:20:57)
  • Lesson 1.3.1, Slide 1 – Victor Hugo – Étienne Carjat 1876 – Bibliothèque nationale de France (Public domain) – https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Victor_Hugo_by_%C3%89tienne_Carjat_1876_-_full.jpg
  • Lesson 1.3.1, Slide 2 – Michael Ursino – Trumpet Player (CC BY-SA 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/90454544@N00/10109311345
  • Lesson 1.3.1, Slide 3 – Icecave – Pixabay (CC0) – https://pixabay.com/en/ice-winter-the-ice-cave-cave-2381291/ and Hellfire – Pixabay (CC0) – https://pixabay.com/de/h%C3%B6lle-feuer-vulkan-w%C3%A4rme-tapete-1690451/
  • Lesson 1.3.1, Slide 4 – Desiree Miloshevic – L1010658 – Run Lola Run, next door to the Einstein caffe (CC BY-SA 2.0) https://www.flickr.com/photos/supergirl/359515292
  • Lesson 1.3.1, Slide 5 – Funny Faces – fivehanks (CC BY 2.0) https://www.flickr.com/photos/fivehanks/6586361257
  • Lesson 1.3.2, Slide 1 – Michael Ursino – Trumpet Player (CC BY-SA 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/90454544@N00/10109311345
  • Lesson 1.3.2, Slide 2 – Carroll MacDonald – Pixabay (CC0), Illustration from the book of Bilz, Friedrich Eduard (1904): Der Zukunftsstaat. Staatseinrichtung im Jahre 2000. Leipzig. (CC0), Rick Guidice – Credits: NASA Ames Research Center – https://www.flickr.com/photos/nasacommons/13889485757/in/album-72157644439092941/
  • Lesson 1.3.3, Slide 1 – Michael Ursino – Trumpet Player (CC BY-SA 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/90454544@N00/10109311345
  • Lesson 1.3.3, Slide 7 – Sciences-Po – Soyez réalistes, demandez l’impossible – Manuscrit, 27 x 21 cm – BnF, département Philosophie, histoire, sciences de l’homme, Lb61-600 (Tracts mai 1968) – Bibliothèque nationale de France (CC0) – http://expositions.bnf.fr/mai68/grand/188.htm
  • Lesson 1.3.3, Slide 9 – Issi | CC0 1.0 | https://openclipart.org/user-detail/Issi
  • Lesson 1.3.3, Slide 10 – ID 127071 – Industrieanlage – (CC0) – https://pixabay.com/de/industrie-industrieanlage-525119/ and lumix2004 – Obstgarten – (CC0) –  https://pixabay.com/de/apple-obstgarten-apfelb%C3%A4ume-rot-1873078/
  • Lesson 1.3.3, Slide 11 – Simon Steinberger – Tannheimer Berge – (CC0 1.0) – https://pixabay.com/de/rauhhorn-alpen-tannheimer-berge-2146181/ and Julius Silver – Polynesia _ (CC0 1.0) – https://pixabay.com/de/polynesien-franz%C3%B6sisch-polynesien-3021072/
  • Lesson 1.3.4, Slide 1 – Michael Ursino – Trumpet Player (CC BY-SA 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/90454544@N00/10109311345
  • Lesson 1.3.4, Slide 4 – Dator‘s Four Futures. The Foresight Guide. Chapter 4. Models – Foundations for Organizational Foresight. By John M. Smart and the Foresight U and FERN teams. http://www.foresightguide.com (last visited 10.09.2018) – http://www.foresightguide.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/image112.png (Free public work)
  • Lesson 1.3.4, Slide 5 – Nattanan Kanchanaprat (CC0)  https://pixabay.com/de/geld-m%C3%BCnze-investitionen-gesch%C3%A4ft-2724241/ , Gerd Altmann (CC0) https://pixabay.com/de/auto-verbot-verbotsschild-diesel-2679743/ , Free-Photos (CC0) https://pixabay.com/de/armut-geh%C3%A4use-schlecht-architektur-1148934/ , John Hain (CC0) https://pixabay.com/de/gehirn-geist-pr%C3%A4senz-denkweise-744207/
  • Lesson 1.3.4, Slide 6 – unknown artist – title woodcut of the edition of 1516 from Thomas Morus’ novel Utopia Film (more than 100 years)
  • Lesson 1.3.5, Slide 1 – Michael Ursino – Trumpet Player (CC BY-SA 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/90454544@N00/10109311345
  • Lesson 1.3.5, Slide 2 – Maxwell Hamilton – Volcanic Eruption (Fantasy) – (CC BY 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/mualphachi/12242256733 , NIAID – Ebola Virus – (CC BY 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/niaid/14712446017 , Paul VanDerWerf – United Nations (CC BY 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/pavdw/4507993914 , Agricultural modules in cutaway view (multiple toroids). NASA ID Number AC78-0330-4. NASA Ames Research Center (CC0) http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/70sArtHiRes/70sArt/art.html , Ryan Somma – NAO Robots – (CC BY 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/ideonexus/7311850916 , Bryan Versteeg – Deep Space Industries (CC0)
  • Lesson 1.3.5, Slide 3 – Maxwell Hamilton – Volcanic Eruption (Fantasy) – (CC BY 2.0) https://www.flickr.com/photos/mualphachi/12242256733  and NIAID – Ebola Virus – (CC BY 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/niaid/14712446017
  • Lesson 1.3.5, Slide 4 – Paul VanDerWerf – United Nations (CC BY 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/pavdw/4507993914 and Agricultural modules in cutaway view (multiple toroids). NASA ID Number AC78-0330-4. NASA Ames Research Center (CC0) http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/70sArtHiRes/70sArt/art.html
  • Lesson 1.3.5, Slide 5 – Ryan Somma – NAO Robots – (CC BY 2.0) – https://www.flickr.com/photos/ideonexus/7311850916  and Bryan Versteeg – Deep Space Industries (CC0)
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