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1. Question
Why do experts talk about futures and not about the future?
- Because there are no certainties about the future. It is always uncertain as long as it has not occurred.
- Because the experts always hope that their darkest predictions will never come true.
- Because there are too many decision points on the way into the future to be able to predict with certainty which of the available possibilities will come true.
- Because target groups that doesn't get a clear orientation spends more money on future analyses.
- Because experts like to make a secret of everything to secure their status.
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Hint

Only two of these statements are completely true, the others contain only a grain of truth that cannot be generalized.
Question 2 of 4

2. Question
Please name the five “p” of the future cone:
- possible
- powerful
- plausible
- perennial
- pervasive
- preferable
- potential
- probable
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Question 3 of 4

3. Question
Which archetypal futures Jim Dator found?
- 1. Business as usual, more of the status quo growth:
  2. System degradation or failure modes as crisis emerges:
  3. Behaviors to adapt to growing internal or environmental limits:
  4. New technology, business, or social factors that change the game:
  Choose from: continuation, decline and collapse, limits and discipline, transformation.
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Question 4 of 4

4. Question
In the last part of the lesson 6 futures were presented. Which of these futures do you remember?
- An alien invasion that destroys every life on Earth.
- A meteorite impact that darkens the sky.
- A spontaneous gene mutation that prevents people from aging and dying.
- A harmless virus strain changes and kills more than 60% of mankind.
- A superpower grabs the world leadership and ensures a better world through a merciless legal system.
- After a short period of protectionism and nationalism, the dangers of these developments are recognized and cured.
- After the process of cell aging is understood, an antidote is developed and a part of humanity migrates into space.
- An ingenious science system discovers a possibility to transfer the content of every single human being into computer systems, humans become machines.
- Artificial intelligences provide for a more peaceful coexistence of people on planet Earth.
- Higher, faster, further remains the motto. More and more people demand their participation in prosperity.
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3. Question

Which archetypal futures Jim Dator found?

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